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Northeast Ohio Regional Retail Analysis

Executive Summary

Northeast Ohio Regional Retail Analysis

Greater Cleveland Retail Market Characteristics

Due to a combination of factors unique to the Greater Cleveland area including its size, geographic location, and age, the Northeast Ohio retail market is characterized by the following:

Oversaturation
Several sub-areas of the regional market area contain an excess of retail floor space in relation to the population served. The 79 million square feet of space devoted to convenience and shopping goods and services in the region exceeds the demand by more than six million square feet. Although this surplus is not exclusively comprised of "prime space", it nevertheless reflects an oversaturated market. In addition, continual overbuilding results in lower rents and encourages marginal uses in established districts.

Experience with Retail Trends Begun Elsewhere
The retail marketplace is in constant flux. Over time, the successes and failures of the various practices are able to be observed by the retail industry as well as local government. While many of these trends are eventually manifested in the Greater Cleveland marketplace, industry members may have worked out some of the initial "kinks". Local government officials have had the opportunity to anticipate the new trends and their impacts.

For example, the "big box" (i.e., Wal-Mart, Target, Super K) retail trend began elsewhere and ran through a life cycle in some of the early store locations, some of which are now defunct. While none of the big box locations in Greater Cleveland have yet been vacated, local government officials are now aware that closure is likely and can plan proactively.

Travel Time Contours
Map 5. Travel Time Contours
SOURCE: Northeast Ohio Areawide Coordinating Agency

Effectiveness of Freeway Network
The freeway network serving Northeast Ohio is relatively efficient compared to other metropolitan areas. This is due in part to the fact that the Greater Cleveland region's population has been stable and the freeway system was originally designed for a much larger population level. This allows for tolerable travel times across the study area. Consumers can visit a variety of shopping locations without spending inordinate amounts of time in their vehicles.

Map 5 illustrates travel time contours for the eight largest shopping centers in the NOACA five county region. The shopping centers include: Midway Mall, Great Northern Mall, Westgate Mall, Southpark Center, Parmatown Mall, Randall Park Mall, Beachwood Place, and Great Lakes Mall. Shaded areas indicate the accessibility of the eight shopping centers within thirty minutes, depending upon the traveler’s point of origin. For example, all of the city of Avon Lake is shaded blue, meaning that a consumer beginning from any portion of Avon Lake could reach three of the eight shopping centers in thirty minutes travel time (Midway Mall, Great Northern Mall, and Westgate Mall). As the map indicates, the majority of the five-county region, covering the vast majority of the population, is accessible within 30 minutes driving time. This illustrates the efficiency of the freeway network of the region.

Increase in Number of Households
Although the region’s population is declining, the number of households continues to increase. For example, while Cuyahoga County lost almost 20% of its population between 1970 and 1998, it showed a 2% gain in households. As a result, there has been a continuing demand for both convenience and shopping goods in the region.

Pedestrial-friendly district
Figure 5. Pedestrian-friendly commercial districts are an important quality of life issue in many communities.

Pedestrian-Friendly Amenities
In terms of the form of the retail environment, consumers often indicate that they prefer pedestrian-friendly environments. This means they like to be able to park close to stores and walk from one store to another. The retail in many communities in Greater Cleveland exhibits this type of layout. The central city has storefront retail clusters and urban malls which consumers can visit and experience on foot. Suburban downtowns, particularly those in older suburbs, have established retail shopping districts. These districts comprise traditional retail layouts in which retail uses are located close to the street, one next to the other, and are served by shared and/or on-street parking. Finally, there are exurban villages, both established and new, that have designs and layouts traditional in nature. These forms of retail add to community character due to their attractive and unique aesthetic qualities.

Low Household Income Levels
Much of the population of Northeast Ohio is employed in the service sector, which does not generally generate high household incomes. In comparing Greater Cleveland to other comparably-sized cities, Cleveland ranks the lowest in household income. For example, while Cleveland's median household income in 1989 (in 1998 dollars) was $23,427, Atlanta's was $29,281 and Baltimore's was $31,608. Upscale retail opportunities are therefore largely confined to high income areas within the region. Consequently, much of the remaining retail is focused on value discounting, which does not generate as high a level of sales as upscale retail nor does this type of retailing include aesthetically-desirable construction.

Decreasing Population Base
Many of the communities in Greater Cleveland are losing population. Therefore, as retail development continues to occur, the population base is less able to support every retailer. Vacancies in retail space result and may remain so for indefinite periods of time. These vacancies occur in both older areas in the small retail spaces as well as in areas where recently constructed retail has gone out of business due to market cannibalization. In addition, since the percentage of Greater Cleveland area residents over 60 years of age continues to climb (21% in Cuyahoga County), it is likely that fewer purchases of shopping goods will result, as more money is spent on travel, medicines, and leisure activities.

Urban Core Opportunities
Much of the urban portions of Northeast Ohio is developed. Retailers seeking sites for new locations prefer developing "greenfield" land rather than in the urban core and surrounding communities where redevelopment of land might be necessary. Consumers living in already developed areas are not afforded as much opportunity for retail variety. The population density of the central city and inner ring suburbs provides numerous opportunities for national retailers with respect to new store locations.

Diversification of retail formats
Figure 6. The diversification of retail formats is evidenced by gasoline stations selling convenience goods and convenience stores selling gas.

Outdated Zoning Practices
There is still a large amount of vacant retail zoned land in the region. While this availability of land has given retailers much choice in the location of new retail locations, it has also resulted in sprawling retail development. Much of the land zoned for retail is located along extensive stretches of arterials, resulting in traffic congestion, visual clutter, and environments unfriendly to pedestrians. Many of the problems endemic to strip development along Cuyahoga County arterials could be recreated in the outlying counties since retail zoning patterns are being replicated in those areas. In addition, the preference for single-purpose retail zoning precludes the use of mixed use development in many areas.

 

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